Thursday, July 7, 2011

Large gender imbalance in 50 years

If there is a shortage of women in the world, there would be a declining birth rate, an increase of sex trafficking and greater pressure on women.

When there is a shortage of women, there would be less people being able to give birth to children, thus, there would be a declining birth rate. China had proven this; "Since it is women who give birth and not men, the future scarcity of women implies that the effective reproductive capacity for both countries is below what is suggested by the unadjusted TFR reading. After making the adjustment for the gender imbalance, China’s Effective Fertility Rate (EFR) is around 1.5." In other words, the Chinese are already far from replacing themselves due to such gender imbalance, which may lead to severe loss of Chinese in the world for a long term run.

Shortage of women may also lead to sex trafficking. An article by Bellinda Kontominas Medical Reporter in India on October 31, 2007 has shown that "In a study of sex selection in China, India, Nepal and Vietnam, Dr Guilmoto estimated that by 2050, the number of men would outweigh that of women by 33 million in India and by 25 million in China- even id current rates of gender imbalanced declined. This could lead to a large number of men migrating to find partners or to an increase in sex trafficking, said Dr Guilmoto." Therefore, sex trafficking would go up hugely in amount, which then reflect a bad society reputation.

Last but not least, women in the future would also have great pressure.
From the same article by Bellinda Kontominas, "Dr Guilmoto said that, "If a woman has given birth to several girls, she is more likely to abort subsequent pregnancies until she conceives a boy, according to the research, which was commissioned by the United Nations Population Fund." This reflected the greater pressure on women to have a son after bearing only daughters, Dr Guilmoto said. He described sex selection as a "tragedy of the commons" where any perceived benefits of having sons gave way to disastrous consequences for society. "I think we certainly have all the ingredients for disaster," he said." Thus, women in the future will suffer from such depression which may lead to many health problems too.

In conclusion, large gender imbalance would only cause havoc to the country's stability. Thus, we must start preventing it from happening now!

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